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Wine & Wisdom: Depopulation – New Global Reality

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Everything you think you know about the future is wrong.

For over two centuries, human population exploded from 1 billion to 8 billion people. We’ve built our entire world—our economies, cities, institutions, and expectations—on the assumption that growth never ends. But it already has.

In 63 countries home to 28 percent of the world’s people, populations are shrinking right now. China’s population is collapsing. Europe is aging into irrelevance. Global fertility has plummeted to barely above replacement level—and it’s still falling. Yet while policymakers scramble and nations face demographic catastrophe, most people remain blissfully unaware. They still worry about overpopulation, a fear that’s decades out of date.

Bill King will reveal the truth about humanity’s demographic future—and why it matters to you. Drawing on cutting-edge research and global data, his comprehensive analysis explores how depopulation will reshape everything: the balance of world power, the future of immigration, the solvency of retirement systems, the price of housing, urban planning, technological adaptation, and even the likelihood of war.

The demographic reality is unavoidable. But catastrophe isn’t. Countries that recognize and adapt to this new reality will thrive. Those clinging to outdated assumptions will struggle. The question isn’t whether depopulation will transform our world—it’s already happening. The question is whether we’ll prepare for it. The future won’t look like the past. It’s time to reset our expectations before it’s too late.

2026 Wine & Wisdom Sponsor

Featured Speaker: Bill King

Bill King

Bill King is a Fellow in Public Finance at Rice University’s Baker Institute for Public Policy. He wrote for the Houston Chronicle from 2005–15, authoring a biweekly column and serving on the editorial board. King is also the author of “Unapologetically Moderate: My Search for the Rational Center in American Politics”. He is a regular contributor to Real Clear Politics and publishes his own blog at www.BillKingBlog.com.

King is a lifelong resident of the Houston area, earning undergraduate and law degrees from the University of Houston. He has enjoyed a varied business and legal career, including serving as national managing partner of Linebarger Goggan Blair & Sampson and president of Southwest Airport Services Inc. Currently the managing director of a real estate investment firm, King is also on the board of Methodist Retirement Communities.

King’s community involvement includes numerous public service and volunteer organizations. From 1992–2005, he held various positions with the city of Kemah, including City Council member and two terms as mayor. King chaired a regional task force on the disastrous Hurricane Rita evacuation and its recommendations formed the basis of new regional evacuation plans. In 2015 and 2019, he was a candidate for mayor of Houston.

He has also participated in many charitable and civic organizations, including Interfaith Ministries, Methodist DeBakey Heart Council, Houston ISD Foundation, Crime Stoppers, Galveston Bay Foundation, Memorial-Hermann Foundation, and Trees for Houston.

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