GLOBAL AFFAIRS & U.S. FOREIGN POLICY INSTITUTE – PART IIIĀ
The Eternal & Enduring Revolutions Still Shaping Our World
The Iranian Revolution still dramatically shapes the geopolitical forces and the mindsets of the vital players in the Middle East today. The origins and outcomes of the revolution still influence: the regimeās deep mistrust of the West; its justifications for its nuclear program; and its ever-deepening economic, political and military ties with China, Russia and North Korea.
Not long after WWII, tense uprisings in then British Colonial India helped lead to the brutal, haphazard and disastrous Partition of India and Pakistan. Partition sowed the seeds for past wars and very recent military conflicts between the only two nuclear powers in the world, who have gone to war directly with each other multiple times over the years.
Just over a decade ago, the peaceful and inspirational Maidan Revolution swept much of Ukraine. It united millions with shared hopes for a more open government and common desires to strengthen ties with Europe. Fearing a threat to his ability to control Ukraine, Putin started a bloody war in 2014, that has devolved into by far the most deadly and consequential war in Europe since WWII.
While it has been years since an American soldier fought in Vietnam, its legacy still casts a long shadow over U.S. foreign policy objectives. The Vietnam War affects how and when we as a nation will accept the use of substantial military force. Despite the difficult lessons that we should have gained from Vietnam, how did or did we not apply that hard-won wisdom to Afghanistan, Iraq or other conflicts in the years to come?
Arguably, the Russian Revolution and the emergence of the worldās first communist state is the most globally disruptive, monumental and consequential revolution in history. Besides laying the foundations for the Cold War and for Chinese Communists to take and still hold power in China today, its lasting influences and skepticism of the West inform the outlooks and justifications for Putinās war on Ukraine and maybe Xiās possible willingness to launch a devastating invasion of Taiwan.
While some powerful revolutions may have occurred a few years or a few decades in the past, their powerful echoes continue today, shaping crucial leaders and players in vital parts of the world. What did the U.S. learn or should it have learned from these rebellions, continues to shape our nationās foreign policy decisions ā and influence the likelihood of success or failure of our nationās critical global aspirations.
